Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Poll fluctuations

I don't have a clue why anyone would believe any poll. Have you seen the fluctuation these past few days and at other times, too? One day there's an 11 point spread, the next two. Who are they polling? The village idiots? They can't be polling the same people each day when they call their 200 or 5000 person sampling can they?

I think there's some tom-foolery going on out there. It's an underground movement to discredit the polls.

I remember when they used to have those boxes on top of the television to do the TV ratings. We had one for a while and we used to have fun turning on programs we weren't watching, sitting in front of the television for programs we hated and doing other things we thought would mess it up. Yes, we were silly.

It's human nature to play games, and to try and be something we're not. It's cool in some circles to say you'll vote or to say you'll vote for Obama. When your spouse, who thinks you're going to vote one way, is sitting on the couch while you're polled, how are you going to answer?

If the people who are out there being polled are really swinging from one party to the other that wildly, we need to change our voting requirements because we have idiots electing those who run our country.

Here's what I really think is going on:

There are close to 200 polls being done (I think the actual number being reported on is 177) as apposed to about 1/4 to 1/3 of that number in past elections.

It's harder to reach people.

People are giving up land lines and going to cell phones only, which I understand costs more to call and poll. Plus I'd imagine it's harder to find the numbers.

Some of the respected pollsters have changed their methodology. They've been wrong so many times they're trying to find their way to accuracy and as you see by polls that continue to fluctuate like the tides, they're not there yet.

There are a lot of people who've never voted before who have signed up and thus are considered to be "likely voters". A lot of them are new, easily led, unsure of the process, don't value the importance of their vote, and some flat out like to tweak pollsters.

I'm feeling a ground swell for John McCain and Sarah Palin. I think Joe the Plumber, spread the wealth, Ayers, Wright and all the other associations are eroding the support for Obama among the moderates and independents. I think they're seeing things like the wild attacks on anyone who crosses Obama's path and seeing a glimpse of the future. I don't know if it's too little too late, but I have hope that we're going to see the true comeback kid pull this one out on November 4th.

I pray that the intelligent voters come out and all the village idiots stay home through November 4th. The dummies can vote on Nov. 5th.

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